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FARMER BROTHERS CO (FARM)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Gross margin remained strong at 43.1% (up 270 bps YoY) on net sales of $90.0M, while adjusted EBITDA improved to $5.9M; diluted EPS was $0.01 .
  • Operating cash flow positive for the second consecutive quarter and first quarter of positive free cash flow in “many years” (CFO $2.6M; FCF $0.5M), reflecting cost discipline and route optimization; management reiterated confidence in sustaining margins ≥40% despite higher-cost inventory headwinds .
  • Coffee volumes declined 8% YoY on customer attrition and softer consumer traffic; allied products (~50% of sales) helped protect margins in a volatile commodity environment .
  • Leadership additions (VP of Sales) and completion of SKU rationalization/brand pyramid by Q3 are intended to drive top-line, coffee pounds, and customer counts; specialty-tier brand rollout is underway .
  • Potential stock catalysts: sustained ≥40% gross margins, continued positive FCF, specialty brand commercialization, and execution on DSD route density; watch for near‑term margin pressure as higher-cost inventory works through COGS and elevated commodity volatility .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Gross margins >43% for the second straight quarter; management: “one of our strongest performing quarters in quite some time” .
  • Adjusted EBITDA improved to $5.9M (+$3.6M YoY; +$4.5M QoQ), supported by price optimization and efficiency initiatives; CFO: positioned to “continue to deliver margins above our 40% target” .
  • Free cash flow turned positive; CFO: “achieving positive free cash flow for the quarter…$0.5M…an improvement of $7.6M YoY” .

What Went Wrong

  • Coffee volumes down 8% YoY due to customer attrition, lower consumer spending, and decreased foot traffic; customer count degradation remains a focus area .
  • Sequential gross margin slightly down as higher-cost inventory begins to flow through COGS; margin pressure expected over coming quarters given rising coffee prices .
  • Net income softened YoY to $0.21M vs $2.70M in Q2 FY24 primarily due to a $1.5M net loss on asset disposals this quarter vs $6.1M gains last year .

Financial Results

Quarterly Comparison (Sequential: Q4 2024 → Q1 2025 → Q2 2025)

MetricQ4 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025
Net Sales ($USD Millions)$84.4 $85.1 $90.0
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$32.8 $37.3 $38.8
Gross Margin (%)38.8% 43.9% 43.1%
Net Income ($USD Millions)$(4.592) $(5.002) $0.210
Diluted EPS ($USD)$(0.22) $(0.24) $0.01
EBITDA ($USD Millions)$(1.040) $(1.408) $3.743
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$(1.574) $1.417 $5.899
Operating Expenses ($USD Millions)$36.9 $40.1 (47.2% of sales) $37.8 (42.0% of sales)

Year-over-Year Comparison (Q2 2024 → Q2 2025)

MetricQ2 2024Q2 2025
Net Sales ($USD Millions)$89.5 $90.0
Gross Profit ($USD Millions)$36.1 $38.8
Gross Margin (%)40.4% 43.1%
Net Income ($USD Millions)$2.704 $0.210
Diluted EPS ($USD)$0.13 $0.01
Adjusted EBITDA ($USD Millions)$2.311 $5.899

Balance Sheet and Liquidity (as of Dec 31, 2024)

MetricValue
Cash and Cash Equivalents ($USD Millions)$5.488
Restricted Cash ($USD Millions)$0.246
Outstanding Borrowings ($USD Millions)$23.3
Revolver Availability ($USD Millions)$23.7
Total Assets ($USD Millions)$179.1
Total Equity ($USD Millions)$41.5

KPIs

KPIQ2 2025
Operating Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$2.6
Free Cash Flow ($USD Millions)$0.5
Coffee Volumes YoYDown 8%
Allied Products Mix~50% of sales

Note: Non-GAAP Adjusted EBITDA excludes income taxes, interest, D&A, 401(k)/share-based comp, net losses/gains on asset disposals, and severance; loss related to sale of business excluded beginning FY2024 for comparability .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Gross MarginNear-term FY2025“40+% target” referenced by management Expect to “continue to deliver margins above our 40% target” despite higher-cost inventory Maintained
RevenueFY2025No formal guidance providedNo formal guidance providedMaintained
Operating ExpensesFY2025Focus on cost structure rightsizing; no numeric guidanceContinued OpEx optimization; no numeric guidanceMaintained
Pricing ActionsFY2025Proactive pricing taken early FY2025May take additional price if needed; monitoring volatility Conditional update
Cash FlowFY2025Goal toward positive FCFAchieved positive FCF in Q2; ongoing focus on sustainable FCF Improved milestone

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q4 2024)Previous Mentions (Q1 2025)Current Period (Q2 2025)Trend
Gross Margin TargetMargin expansion; expect further improvement 43.9% GM; proactive pricing; margin gains 43.1% GM; expect ≥40% despite higher-cost inventory Stable ≥40% with near-term pressure
Commodity Volatility/PricingAddressing elevated commodity markets Proactive pricing; not linear quarterly results Arabica/Robusta at record highs; reserve right to take price Heightened volatility; pricing flexibility
DSD Route OptimizationNetwork optimization and HQ/DC moves Density and utilization focus Continued route optimization and customer penetration Ongoing execution
SKU Rationalization/Brand PyramidTransition largely on schedule; specialty launch planned Boyd’s national refresh; specialty brand coming Specialty-tier rolled out to select customers; full rollout by Q3 Completing in Q3
Customer Counts/VolumesRetention improved vs FY2023; volumes not yet where desired Stabilizing retention, growth via product penetration Volumes down 8% YoY; attrition persists; focus on counts/pounds Mixed; headwinds persist
E-commerce/B2B PortalTech upgrades to support service/inventory B2B web ordering to launch in Q4; DTC refresh complete New capability impending
Strategic PartnershipsEurest specialty program; bespoke roasting/manufacturing capability Expanding opportunities

Management Commentary

  • CEO: “The second quarter was one of our strongest performing quarters in quite some time…gross margins above 43% for the second straight quarter” .
  • CFO: “We believe our proactive pricing actions and inventory management have us positioned to continue to deliver margins above our 40% target over the coming quarters” .
  • CEO on volumes: “We…continue to experience pressure related to customer counts and overall coffee volumes…overall coffee volumes were down 8% YoY” .
  • CFO on cash flow: “6 consecutive quarters of improved cash flow from operations…we…achiev[ed] positive free cash flow for the quarter…$0.5M” .
  • CEO on commodity volatility: Arabica “about $411 before closing at $403.95”; Robusta at all-time high; sourcing changes increase nimbleness .

Q&A Highlights

  • Sales organization and route optimization: Leadership split (VP Sales vs VP Field Ops) to focus on business development vs operations; management sees “early to mid-innings” with significant street-level opportunity and product penetration focus .
  • Specialty brand rollout: Initial phase optimizes sourcing/manufacturing; longer term a top-line driver; consolidation of SKUs (finished goods ~50%+ reduction; overall raw/finished >55% consolidation) .
  • Eurest partnership: Specialty brands specific to partnership; highlights Farmer Brothers’ bespoke roasting/manufacturing capabilities for eco-friendly, high-quality blends .
  • E-commerce/B2B: Corporate brand/site refresh completed; B2B web ordering launches in Q4 to expand product penetration and enable loyalty/promo programming .
  • Pricing and margins: Proactive pricing early FY2025; will “hold off” on additional price where possible but reserve right if needed to protect margins amidst extreme market volatility .

Estimates Context

  • Wall Street consensus estimates (S&P Global) for Q2 FY2025 EPS and revenue were unavailable due to SPGI request limit; comparisons vs consensus cannot be provided at this time. Values would be retrieved from S&P Global when available.*
  • Implication: Without consensus, we cannot label beats/misses; near-term estimate revisions may reflect sustained ≥40% margin messaging, positive FCF, and sequential revenue improvement, offset by volume pressure and commodity-driven margin headwinds .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Margin durability: Two consecutive quarters >43% GM; management targets ≥40% despite higher-cost inventory—monitor margins as elevated commodity costs roll through COGS .
  • Cash discipline: Positive operating cash flow and FCF inflection signal improving quality of earnings; watch for sustainability across Q3/Q4 .
  • Top-line initiatives: Completion of SKU rationalization/brand pyramid and specialty rollouts by Q3, plus B2B ordering in Q4, are catalysts to drive coffee pounds and customer counts .
  • Mix resiliency: Allied products (~50% of sales) help protect route profitability and margins in volatile markets—expect continued emphasis on cross-sell .
  • Volumes/customer counts: Coffee volumes down 8% YoY; execution on route density and product penetration is critical to offset attrition and drive scale .
  • Pricing flexibility: Proactive pricing already taken; management may take further price if necessary to preserve margins amid record-high Arabica/Robusta—assess elasticity and retention risk .
  • Watch asset disposal noise: YoY net income impacted by swing from gains in FY24 to losses in FY25; focus on adjusted EBITDA and margin trajectory for core trend .

Citations:

*Values retrieved from S&P Global would normally be used for consensus comparisons; they were unavailable due to request limits at the time of this analysis.